CONFERENCE SPEAKERS

Todd Filsinger

Senior Managing Director

Filsinger Energy Partners

Todd W. Filsinger has been active in the in the energy sector for over 25 years and is recognized globally as a leader and turn-around specialist in the energy sector. As an interim executive leader hired to turn companies around and lead them through difficult situations, Mr. Filsinger has guided several utilities through industry restructuring, developed complex strategies for utilities and renewable energy companies, and has been involved with the restructuring of a majority of merchant power companies. He has also led and managed some of the largest trading operations in the United States. Additionally, Mr. Filsinger has assisted commodity-based businesses, and helped both regulated and merchant utilities across the United States in the areas of strategy, regulatory compliance and filings, asset divestiture, and capital allocation techniques. Notably, Mr. Filsinger served as Interim Chief Executive Officer and Interim Chief Financial Officer for Hawkeye Growth and was the leader of PA Consulting Group’s Global Energy Practice from 2002 through 2010.

 

Challenges and Opportunities In Power Plant Valuations: Today and Tomorrow

Mr. Filsinger will present the complications in conducting plant appraisals in today’s markets given the gas price and environmental uncertainties.

 

John Wehner

Independent Consultant

Currently engaged with Cambridge Resources International

John Wehner has over 40 years’ experience in the utility, financial and economic consulting industries. John has a bachelor’s degree in English from Stanford University, a master’s degree in City Planning from Harvard University as well as a master’s degree in International Finance from MIT. John is a CFA and a Certified Six Sigma Black Belt.

 

John is an independent consultant currently engaged with Cambridge Resources International (CRI) – participating in a government and utility executive training programs.  Training focuses on economic, financial and benefit cost analysis of electric utility projects as well as electric utility industry regulatory reform. Prior to working with CRI John worked for 26 years at Nextera Energy as a Manager of Corporate Development, Market Intelligence Manager and Principal Financial Analyst. John was Manager of Market Research for the MacArthur Foundation, a Senior Consultant at Arthur D. Little, Senior Economist at Bechtel Group, Environmental Planner at Camp, Dresser & McKee, Inc. and Lead Economist at Charles T. Main.

 

Scenario Planning and Investor Response to Proposed Climate Change Regulation Uncertainty

The presentation illustrates how scenario planning can be used as a framework for analyzing and addressing a range of technical, fuel price, political and legal uncertainties related to the 2014 EPA Clean Power Plan Proposed Rule. Also discussed are factors that may limit scenario planning effectiveness as well as strategies for reducing these limitations.

 

Mike McGough

Chief Commercial Officer

NuScale

In his role at NuScale, Mike McGough oversees all sales, marketing, business development, proposal management, media engagement, tradeshows, website, and branding.

 

McGough joined NuScale from UniStar Nuclear where he was Senior Vice President, Commercial Operations.

 

McGough is a 35-year veteran of the commercial nuclear industry supporting construction, operations, maintenance and decommissioning of nuclear plants worldwide. He has been involved in new plants at Westinghouse and UniStar, dry fuel storage as senior vice president for NAC International, low level waste management and decommissioning at Duratek and Energy Solutions. He was senior vice president then President of PCI Energy Services where he spent 11 years working mechanical projects such as steam generator replacements and decommissionings.

 

McGough holds a Bachelor of Science in Physical Metallurgy from Washington State University, and MBA from the Katz School of Business at the University of Pittsburgh. He is also a graduate of the Kellogg Management Institute at Northwestern University.

 

Small Modular Reactors:  The Future of Nuclear Energy

The NuScale Power Module is a Small Modular Reactor which generates 50 MWe and is installed in groups of up to 12, to comprise a 600 MW nuclear energy facility.  The plant has uniques safety attributes which allow it to safely shut down and self cool indefinitely, if faced with a Fukushima-like event.  The first plant is scheduled to be on-line, in Idaho, in 2024.  This presentation will describe the status, progress and remaining challenges for deployment of this carbon-free baseload energy resource.

 

Marcelo Saenz

Senior Consultant

Siemens

Mr. Saenz is now a Senior Consultant for Pace Global (Siemens). In his new role, Marcelo is focused on Mexico's reform of the power sector leading power market advisory engagements. Marcelo's responsibilities include the development of market outlooks and power price forecasts for the new competitive market, advising clients in their business strategies in Mexico and identifying opportunities for incumbent players. Marcelo has over 14 years of experience with the energy industry both in consulting and utility operations and planning. Worked in various analytical roles supporting asset management and operations, commercial energy transactions, utility long-term planning, asset project valuations, commodity markets research and policy analysis. Experience developing power price forecasts and market outlooks using fundamental power models.

 

Mr. Saenz holds a M.A. in Economics from West Virginia University and a B.A. in Economics from Universidad de Los Andes, Colombia.

 

Mexico’s New Electricity Sector: Considerations and Opportunities

We will review the basic structure of the new regulatory framework, the outlook for the market, and how companies are adapting to the new structure and the opportunities being created to industry players.

 

Seth Schwartz

President

Energy Ventures Analysis

Mr. Schwartz is the President of the consulting firm of Energy Ventures Analysis (EVA), and was one of the founders of the firm in 1981.  He and his firm specialize in applied analysis of energy markets, including power, coal, natural gas, oil and emission allowances.  EVA publishes regular reports on energy markets, including forecasts of supply, demand and prices.  EVA’s clients include energy consumers, producers and transporters as well as investors and regulators.  Mr. Schwartz testifies on energy markets before courts and regulatory agencies.  He received a degree in Geological Engineering from Princeton University in 1977.

 

Outlook for US Coal Markets and Prices

  1. Demand for US coal, including the impact of EPA’s new carbon rules
  2. Coal supply and production costs
  3. Coal transportation and delivered coal prices for power market modeling

 

Jamie Austin

Principal Transmission Planning Engineer

PacifiCorp (& WECC TEPPC Data Work Group Chairperson)

Jamie Austin attended the University of Portland and graduated with BSEE & MSEE degrees in Electrical Engineering - Power Systems.  Jamie is a Principal Transmission Planning Engineer at PacifiCorp and her work focuses on Regional Transmission Planning.  Her background includes wide-ranging Electric Power Engineering experience encompassing system planning, system operations, resource planning and regulatory compliance.

 

Transmission Planning Issues with Renewable Resources on Dispatched Generation

The development of renewable energy sources has had a profound impact on the domestic energy generation landscape.  However, there is a growing body of evidence demonstrating how large penetrations of wind power generation in power systems contribute to increase the cost and the complexity of electrical grid operations. Those costs and increased complexity are directly linked to the random nature of the wind over time.  The electric grid is a highly complex, interconnected machine, and changing one part of the grid can cause:

  1. System operators to carry more reserve capacity to cope with the randomness of wind if current security and reliability standards are to be maintained.
  2. The degradation of reliability in isolated systems or systems with weak interconnections with surrounding areas.
  3. Frequent cycling of fossil fuel-based generators caused by the random nature of renewable generation can, in turn, cause thermal and pressure stresses. Over time, these stresses can result in premature component failure, increased maintenance and repair, and shortened plant life.

 

Brad Decker

Strategic Planning Manager

Platte River Power Authority

Brad Decker has been in the electric utility industry since 1992, and currently is the Strategic Planning Manager for Platte River Power Authority in Ft Collins, CO. Prior to his current role, he also worked for Tennessee Valley Authority (Chattanooga, TN), Public Service Company of New Mexico (Albuquerque), Tucson Electric Power, and Dayton Power and Light. Brad has held a variety of planning roles-including demand forecasting and load research, resource planning and portfolio management, rates and regulatory affairs, and structuring and acquisitions. He holds degrees in economics and finance from the University of Dayton and Colorado State University.

 

The Evolution of Utility Planning: Anticipating Future Planning Requirements

A non-technical perspective of the evolution of utility planning to-date, as well as a discussion of current signals that indicate looming changes for the future. The content will include an examination of the impacts of computing power on forecasting methods, an overview of significant historical impacts in the energy industry, and brief case studies of major milestones in the history of utility planning.

 

Bob Brooks, Ph.D.

President

RBAC, Inc.

Dr. Brooks is an applied mathematician, energy economist, and software systems designer.

 

He earned degrees from the University of California, the University of Texas, and MIT.  For his doctoral research project, he developed the first detailed LP model of the North American natural gas pipeline grid.

 

In the 1970’s Dr. Brooks developed energy transportation models for US government agencies.  He is the principal designer of the GPCM Natural Gas Market Forecasting System, the first pipeline-specific monthly, long-term model of the North American natural gas market.  He has designed a similar modeling system for the North American natural gas liquids market.

 

Modelling the North American Gas & Power Market by Integrating GPCM® and AURORAxmp®

This presentation will show you how to produce a consistent forecast of gas and power prices, production, and market deliveries using the two most widely used gas and power market modeling systems in North America:  GPCM and AURORAxmp.  In the spring of 2015 researchers at EPIS and RBAC undertook a trial project to see whether their respective models could work together to produce a consistent result.  This presentation will show you how this was successfully accomplished.

GPCM is a trademark owned by RT7K, LLC.  AURORAxmp is a trademark owned by EPIS, Inc.

 

Aqeel Adenwala

Associate

Energy Ventures Analysis

Aqeel Adenwala is an associate at Energy Ventures Analysis Inc. (EVA), responsible for developing fundamental models and providing comprehensive power market analysis to EVA’s clients. Using the AURORAxmp model, Aqeel provides short-term and long-term energy forecasts for the North American Power Market regions. He collaborates extensively with the Coal and Natural Gas teams at EVA to create long-term fuel price forecasts using market fundamentals. Aqeel specializes in modeling both rate-based as well as mass-based constraints of Clean Power Plan using AURORAxmp. He has been instrumental in providing strategic analysis and power market insights to EVA’s clients.  Aqeel has an MBA from Georgetown University in Washington, DC with over eight years of consulting experience in Information Technology and the Energy Industry.

 

Modeling the EPA Clean Power Plan in AURORAxmp:  the Impact of Rate- vs. Mass-based Emission Targets (co-presenter)

  1. Review the CPP and its emission restrictions (rate- and mass-based limits)
  2. Review how to properly apply emission limits in AURORAxmp
  3. Briefly discuss AURORAxmp’s constraint logic and how it ensures compliance
  4. Compare the results of rate- and mass-based analyses and discuss why AURORAxmp provides a reliable solution

 

Rob Jennings

Associate

Energy Ventures Analysis

Rob Jennings has been working in power market advisory for four years, focusing on long-term planning and regulatory analysis.  In his current role with Energy Ventures Analysis, he uses AURORAxmp to analyze wholesale energy and capacity markets across the United States in support of clients who need help understanding the risks and challenges they face in the quickly-evolving energy landscape.

 

Modeling the EPA Clean Power Plan in AURORAxmp:  the Impact of Rate- vs. Mass-based Emission Targets (co-presenter)

  1. Review the CPP and its emission restrictions (rate- and mass-based limits)
  2. Review how to properly apply emission limits in AURORAxmp
  3. Briefly discuss AURORAxmp’s constraint logic and how it ensures compliance
  4. Compare the results of rate- and mass-based analyses and discuss why AURORAxmp provides a reliable solution

 

Anant Kumar

Director

Pace Global (Siemens)

Anant Kumar is a Director at Pace Global, A Siemens Business, responsible for directing and managing power market advisory engagements. As part of this responsibility, Mr. Kumar has advised clients in dozens of engagements including but not limited to integrated resource planning, transaction advisory, and expert witness testimony support.  Mr. Kumar plays the role of a senior expert helping drive the development of U.S power market views and refinement and application of analytical models (such as Aurora) to offer solutions to unique client problems and address evolving market issues.

He has consulted to utilities, financial investors, IPPs, and law firms and has over 17 years of experience in consulting and utility operating roles. Mr. Kumar has an M.S., with Honors, in Electrical Engineering from the University of Texas at Austin and an MBA from University of Michigan, Ann Arbor.

 

Reserves and Storage Modeling: A Case Study (co-presenter)

As intermittent capacity becomes more prevalent across the electric grid, flexible and responsive resources such as storage are gaining in value.  This is especially true in California where a storage standard is in place, and more so for municipal utilities that operate outside of the California ISO and self-supply their own ancillary services.  In this case study, Pace Global will review an applied example of the impacts of a battery energy storage solution on a California Municipal Utility’s portfolio performance, including the contributions to energy value, regulation services, and spinning reserve requirements.  The case study will review an analysis of regulation value, along with an AURORAxmp-based assessment of the battery resource’s contribution to spinning reserve and energy production.  Pace Global’s presentation will provide a high-level conceptual overview of how a battery system can provide value, with a deep dive into a unique application of computational data sets and operating reserve logic within AURORAxmp to model the utility’s portfolio within all constraints for spinning reserve procurement.

 

Michael Korschek

Senior Consultant

Pace Global (Siemens)

Mr. Korschek, after ten years of experience in the Energy Industry, has had exposure and experience in a wide range of energy related projects. He has been involved in the several areas of the regulatory field from environmental regulations to utility stranded cost cases to rail rate cases. Mr. Korschek has also been involved in a variety of projects that relate to natural gas that range from LNG importation strategy, price tracking, industry research, and gas storage development. In addition to experience in fuels projects Mr. Korschek has worked extensively on power market projects since August 2008, both domestically and internationally. These have included integrated resource planning projects for utilities and municipalities, stochastic analysis of power markets and assets, as well as developing innovative changes to Pace's power market dispatch model that enhance the flexibility and effectiveness of forecasts. Mr. Korschek has experience modeling power systems in the U.S., Australia, and several Middle Eastern countries.

 

Reserves and Storage Modeling: A Case Study (co-presenter)

As intermittent capacity becomes more prevalent across the electric grid, flexible and responsive resources such as storage are gaining in value.  This is especially true in California where a storage standard is in place, and more so for municipal utilities that operate outside of the California ISO and self-supply their own ancillary services.  In this case study, Pace Global will review an applied example of the impacts of a battery energy storage solution on a California Municipal Utility’s portfolio performance, including the contributions to energy value, regulation services, and spinning reserve requirements.  The case study will review an analysis of regulation value, along with an AURORAxmp-based assessment of the battery resource’s contribution to spinning reserve and energy production.  Pace Global’s presentation will provide a high-level conceptual overview of how a battery system can provide value, with a deep dive into a unique application of computational data sets and operating reserve logic within AURORAxmp to model the utility’s portfolio within all constraints for spinning reserve procurement.

 

Debbie White

Portfolio Engineer

North Carolina Electric Membership Corporation (NCEMC)

Debbie is a Portfolio Engineer at NCEMC, where she has worked for the past six years.  Debbie is the principal modeler for NCEMC’s Power Supply division and led the switch to AURORAxmp in 2014.  She graduated from NC State University with a BS in Textile Engineering and is a proud alumna of the marching band.

 

Modeling a small, complex, system

A brief overview of key functionality used by NCEMC to model its production costs

 

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